Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.969890 2.147692 2.337224 2.554785 2.798226 3.062917 3.373406
2026-01-25 1.707381 1.949834 2.223772 2.558066 2.957513 3.422635 4.009803
2026-02-01 1.503026 1.774086 2.093447 2.501105 3.012845 3.640967 4.481214
2026-02-08 1.360626 1.648495 1.999175 2.463426 3.070385 3.849067 4.943780
2026-02-15 1.256992 1.556892 1.932749 2.446202 3.141764 4.069856 5.434588
2026-02-22 1.199880 1.516907 1.924907 2.499066 3.303793 4.419321 6.134229
2026-03-01 1.126296 1.448286 1.871941 2.483247 3.365280 4.628992 6.649085
2026-03-08 1.055069 1.376929 1.808691 2.445623 3.388749 4.780850 7.087221
2026-03-15 0.977388 1.291329 1.719319 2.362530 3.336107 4.810299 7.329680
2026-03-22 0.937928 1.255938 1.697213 2.374139 3.424125 5.060328 7.957265
2026-03-29 0.911148 1.236399 1.695727 2.414985 3.558576 5.393712 8.764167
2026-04-05 0.883661 1.213901 1.687938 2.444624 3.676100 5.708271 9.575065
2026-04-12 0.855163 1.189009 1.675992 2.468330 3.788325 6.029132 10.450770
2026-04-19 0.823612 1.157828 1.652590 2.471900 3.866856 6.298810 11.266799
2026-04-26 0.780503 1.106951 1.595974 2.417404 3.840972 6.377698 11.711188
2026-05-03 0.745150 1.066080 1.552519 2.381307 3.843409 6.507131 12.275218
2026-05-10 0.716860 1.034675 1.522152 2.364799 3.878669 6.700447 13.001763
2026-05-17 0.705088 1.028330 1.531163 2.415471 4.039329 7.151158 14.367932
2026-05-24 0.680353 1.000282 1.503437 2.400310 4.075836 7.358096 15.205129
2026-05-31 0.653041 0.966911 1.465290 2.364246 4.069456 7.476081 15.846893
2026-06-07 0.618929 0.921235 1.404707 2.284576 3.972898 7.396456 15.987626
2026-06-14 0.604060 0.906221 1.394698 2.295708 4.055050 7.704829 17.165740
2026-06-21 0.595107 0.900465 1.399934 2.334873 4.195919 8.155680 18.801982